Midterm Pulse2026US Electionsby Jorge Garcelán
Election nightENES

THE LATINO VOTE · CENSUS ACS 2024

33.8 million Latinos can vote: 14.0 % of the country's electorate.The Latino vote

Hispanic or Latino citizens aged 18 and over, the people who may vote: not the whole population, and not who registers or how anyone votes. Where they live, and which of this year's close races they sit in.

U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 (5-year), tables B05003, B05003I, C16001. Every district share has a margin of error of ±1 points or less.

Latino share of citizens 18+

14.0 %33.8 million of 240.8 million citizens 18+
13.6 %of residents aged 5+ speak Spanish at home
76.0 %of Latino eligible voters were born in the U.S.

15 of the 64 competitive races have an electorate 20% Latino or more.

COMPETITIVE RACES

The close races with the most Latino voters. Lean or closer, ranked by their Latino share.

  1. 1Texas 28th DistrictPolls D+15.1 · 3 polls, latest Oct 1386.4 %±0.579.3 %Lean D
  2. 2Texas 15th DistrictPolls D+7.3 · 5 polls, latest Oct 1675.0 %±0.763.9 %Tilt D
  3. 3Texas 34th DistrictPolls D+6.7 · 3 polls, latest Oct 1972.0 %±0.752.4 %Tilt D
  4. 4Florida 27th DistrictNo recent poll average70.7 %±0.770.5 %Lean R
  5. 5California 22nd DistrictNo recent poll average63.9 %±0.756.5 %Tilt D
  6. 6Texas 23rd DistrictNo recent poll average55.0 %±0.739.6 %Lean R
  7. 7New Mexico 2nd DistrictNo recent poll average54.3 %±0.633.9 %Lean D
  8. 8Texas 35th DistrictPolls R+0.3 · 4 polls, latest Oct 1951.9 %±0.731.3 %Toss-up
  9. 9California 48th DistrictPolls D+8.0 · 3 polls, latest Oct 2832.3 %±0.626.9 %Lean D
  10. 10Texas SenatePolls D+2.7 · 67 polls, latest Oct 3031.6 %±0.128.1 %Toss-up
  11. 11Colorado 8th DistrictNo recent poll average30.7 %±0.521.0 %Lean D
  12. 12Florida 22nd DistrictNo recent poll average27.0 %±0.728.5 %Toss-up

Ratings: consensus of Cook, Inside Elections and Sabato, read October 30, 2026. Poll averages only with 3+ polls, the latest within 45 days. ± is the 90% margin of error of the Census estimate.

THE MAP

Where the Latino electorate lives. District by district, on the November 2026 maps.

Loading district boundaries…

THE STATES

Ten states hold 77 % of Latino eligible voters. Latino citizens 18+, and their share of each state's electorate.

  1. California8.5 M32.4 % of the electorate
  2. TexasSenate 20266.3 M31.6 % of the electorate
  3. FloridaSenate 20263.5 M21.9 % of the electorate
  4. New York2.2 M15.6 % of the electorate
  5. Arizona1.3 M24.3 % of the electorate
  6. IllinoisSenate 20261.2 M13.4 % of the electorate
  7. New JerseySenate 20261.1 M16.7 % of the electorate
  8. ColoradoSenate 20260.7 M17.0 % of the electorate
  9. New MexicoSenate 20260.7 M42.7 % of the electorate
  10. Pennsylvania0.6 M6.2 % of the electorate

HOW TO READ IT

What these numbers are, and what they are not.

Eligible, not voters

The electorate here is the citizen voting-age population: U.S. citizens aged 18 and over. It is not the number registered, nor the number who will vote, and it says nothing about how anyone votes.

Latino is an origin

Hispanic or Latino is an ethnicity in the Census, of any race. The share counts Latino citizens 18+ over all citizens 18+, never over the total population, which includes children and non-citizens.

Spanish at home

The second figure counts residents aged 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, of any origin and citizenship. It has a different base from the first, so the two numbers are not comparable one to one.

Five-year estimates

The ACS 2024 5-year release pools surveys from 2020 to 2024. Each number is an estimate with a margin of error; on this page every district share is within ±1 points (90% confidence).

U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates (api.census.gov), retrieved October 25, 2026. Tables B05003, B05003I, C16001. data.census.gov ↗