Midterm Pulse2026
Data
ENES

STATE · 2026 MIDTERMS

Arizona

9House seats
5.8expected D seats
4in play
R+5.5President 2024

HOUSE

9 districts, closest first

AZ-02Likely R
54% DD+0.8
AZ-08Safe R
59% RR+1.8
AZ-01Lean D
83% DD+7.2
AZ-06Toss-up
83% DD+7.3
AZ-05Safe R
85% RR+7.8
AZ-09Safe R
99% RR+18.8
AZ-03Safe D
100% DD+57.0
AZ-04Safe D
100% DD+20.5
AZ-07Safe D
100% DD+38.9

State profile

Arizona at a glance

— House seats

Census profile

Arizona vs. the country

ACS
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Presidential results

Arizona since 1976

MIT Election Lab
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Two-party margin of the presidential vote in the state (Democratic share minus Republican share of all votes cast).