Midterm Pulse2026
Data
ENES

STATE · 2026 MIDTERMS

Texas

38House seats
12.7expected D seats
5in play
R+13.7President 2024

SENATE

Texas Senate

57% DModel margin D+1.3Cook: Toss-up
Open race →

HOUSE

38 districts, closest first

TX-35Lean R
51% DD+0.1
TX-15Toss-up
56% DD+1.0
TX-23Likely R
57% RR+1.4
TX-34Toss-up
79% DD+6.0
TX-32Safe R
84% RR+7.4
TX-38Safe R
84% RR+7.6
TX-09Likely R
87% RR+8.5
TX-10Safe R
87% RR+8.3
TX-22Safe R
88% RR+8.8
TX-21Safe R
89% RR+9.2
TX-24Safe R
89% RR+9.1
TX-05Safe R
90% RR+9.8
TX-02Safe R
91% RR+10.1
TX-27Safe R
92% RR+10.6
TX-28Lean D
92% DD+10.4
TX-03Safe R
94% RR+11.8
TX-25Safe R
94% RR+11.8
TX-14Safe R
95% RR+12.1
TX-17Safe R
95% RR+12.5
TX-06Safe R
97% RR+13.7
TX-08Safe R
98% RR+14.9
TX-26Safe R
98% RR+15.3
TX-31Safe R
98% RR+15.3
TX-36Safe R
98% RR+15.1
TX-04Safe R
99% RR+16.5
TX-12Safe R
99% RR+16.4
TX-01Safe R
100% RR+37.0
TX-07Safe D
100% DD+36.7
TX-11Safe R
100% RR+22.5
TX-13Safe R
100% RR+34.0
TX-16Safe D
100% DD+31.8
TX-18Safe D
100% DD+65.1
TX-19Safe R
100% RR+38.5
TX-20Safe D
100% DD+39.9
TX-29Safe D
100% DD+47.5
TX-30Safe D
100% DD+58.2
TX-33Safe D
100% DD+44.5
TX-37Safe D
100% DD+68.6

State profile

Texas at a glance

— House seats

Census profile

Texas vs. the country

ACS
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Presidential results

Texas since 1976

MIT Election Lab
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Two-party margin of the presidential vote in the state (Democratic share minus Republican share of all votes cast).