Texas 5th District forecast — Midterm Pulse 2026

Midterm Pulse2026

The modelThe forecast, how it works, its validation and sources LatestHeadlines, new polls, market swings and what moved PollsGeneric ballot, Senate and House polls MarketsPrediction markets against the model

Races: map and listAll 470 House and Senate races StatesEach state's Senate race and House districts CandidatesEvery 2026 nominee

GeographySeven axes of the American vote, county by county HistorySeat changes and past cycles GlossaryEvery term, in plain words AboutWho builds Midterm Pulse

PlaygroundScenarios, map builder and data lab Stream modeFull-screen scenes for OBS

Data

Assembling model, FEC and Census data…

Midterm Pulse 2026

An independent, open forecast of the 2026 US midterms, told in Spanish: every race, every source, every assumption in the open.

MP-26 v0.4 · updated dailyExperimental model · not a prediction of certainty

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Made in Madrid by Jorge Garcelán · X · LinkedIn · GitHub · jorgegarcelan.com

Not affiliated with any party, campaign or media outlet.

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