Midterm Pulse2026
Data
ENES

STATE · 2026 MIDTERMS

Florida

28House seats
9.9expected D seats
10in play
R+13.1President 2024

SENATE · SPECIAL ELECTION

Florida Senate

83% RModel margin R+7.1Cook: Safe R
Open race →

HOUSE

28 districts, closest first

FL-07Likely R
50% DR+0.1
FL-13Lean R
51% RR+0.2
FL-22Toss-up
56% DD+1.2
FL-09Likely R
59% DD+1.6
FL-16Safe R
59% RR+1.8
FL-11Safe R
65% RR+2.8
FL-04Safe R
67% RR+3.2
FL-25Toss-up
74% DD+4.7
FL-27Lean R
80% RR+6.2
FL-18Safe R
82% RR+6.7
FL-08Safe R
84% RR+7.5
FL-14Toss-up
86% DD+7.9
FL-15Safe R
89% RR+9.2
FL-02Safe R
90% RR+9.6
FL-12Safe R
90% RR+9.6
FL-03Safe R
94% RR+11.7
FL-21Safe R
94% RR+11.7
FL-26Safe R
95% RR+12.2
FL-17Safe R
97% RR+13.8
FL-05Safe R
98% RR+14.7
FL-06Safe R
99% RR+17.7
FL-19Safe R
99% RR+17.0
FL-28Safe R
99% RR+17.5
FL-01Safe R
100% RR+24.8
FL-10Safe D
100% DD+37.6
FL-20Safe D
100% DD+48.1
FL-23Safe D
100% DD+25.6
FL-24Safe D
100% DD+50.5

State profile

Florida at a glance

— House seats

Census profile

Florida vs. the country

ACS
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Presidential results

Florida since 1976

MIT Election Lab
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Two-party margin of the presidential vote in the state (Democratic share minus Republican share of all votes cast).